Russian roulette probability problem
Russian roulette probability problem
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Answer to puzzle #54: two bullet russian roulette. We are to play a version of russian roulette, the revolver is a standard six shooter but i will put two bullets in the gun in consecutive chambers. I spin the chambers, put the gun to my head pull the trigger and survive. I hand you the gun and give you a choice. The first player has a revolver with 1 bullet. If he survive, we add one bullet to a chamber and spin the barrel. And so on, until the sixth player (if the others survive). I want to know a probability, that the revolver will come to the sixth player and i want to make it like a simulation. Problem: probabilistic v ariant of the in troduction the clasic joseph us problem describes that ev ery mth person josephus problem is remo v ed going around the circle un til only josh ua brulé 2013 ma y 2 one remains. The problem is to nd the position. Calculation of expected value. We use the above information with the formula for expected value. Since we have a discrete random variable x for net winnings, the expected value of betting $1 on red in roulette is: p (red) x (value of x for red) + p (not red) x (value of x for not red) = 18/38 x 1 + 20/38 x (-1) = -0. Am simply not getting this. Especially "he has $1/6$ probability of losing in this run. " if a person pulls a trigger, he has $1/6$ probability of winning as there is only one bullet. I tried it this way: probability of winning for first player: $$1/6 + (5/6)^2 \times 1/6 + (5/6)^4 \times 1/6=0. 36$$ probability of winning for second player:. In this problem the correct answer is to switch and pick the other door. In the russian problem is there is no knowledge of what the next chamber is. You are correct the chance the next chamber has a bullet is 2 in 5 or 40%. If you spin the chance resets back to 2 in 6 or 33%. In this problem the correct answer is to spin again Nov 19, 2019 Valid Until: December 5th, russian roulette probability problem.
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Russian roulette probability problem, innovative casino ideas
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